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Poor numbers : how we are misled by African development statistics and what to do about it
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ISBN: 9780801451638 9780801478604 0801451639 080147860X 1322503621 0801467616 9780801467615 0801467608 Year: 2013 Publisher: Ithaca : Cornell University Press,

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Abstract

One of the most urgent challenges in African economic development is to devise a strategy for improving statistical capacity. Reliable statistics, including estimates of economic growth rates and per-capita income, are basic to the operation of governments in developing countries and vital to nongovernmental organizations and other entities that provide financial aid to them. Rich countries and international financial institutions such as the World Bank allocate their development resources on the basis of such data. The paucity of accurate statistics is not merely a technical problem; it has a massive impact on the welfare of citizens in developing countries.Where do these statistics originate? How accurate are they? Poor Numbers is the first analysis of the production and use of African economic development statistics. Morten Jerven's research shows how the statistical capacities of sub-Saharan African economies have fallen into disarray. The numbers substantially misstate the actual state of affairs. As a result, scarce resources are misapplied. Development policy does not deliver the benefits expected. Policymakers' attempts to improve the lot of the citizenry are frustrated. Donors have no accurate sense of the impact of the aid they supply. Jerven's findings from sub-Saharan Africa have far-reaching implications for aid and development policy. As Jerven notes, the current catchphrase in the development community is "evidence-based policy," and scholars are applying increasingly sophisticated econometric methods-but no statistical techniques can substitute for partial and unreliable data.

Keywords

Statistical science --- Quantitative methods (economics) --- Sub-Saharan Africa --- Economic development --- National income --- Economic indicators --- Accounting --- Africa, Sub-Saharan --- Economic conditions --- Statistical services --- RELIABILITY -- 330.35 --- #SBIB:327.4H60 --- #SBIB:328H41 --- #SBIB:39A4 --- Business indicators --- Indicators, Business --- Indicators, Economic --- Leading indicators --- Economic history --- Quality of life --- Economic forecasting --- Index numbers (Economics) --- Social indicators --- Net national product --- Flow of funds --- Gross national product --- Income --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Statistics. --- Accounting. --- Derde wereld: ontwikkeling, sociale verandering: algemeen --- Instellingen en beleid: Afrika: comparatief / diverse landen --- Toegepaste antropologie --- Africa, Black --- Africa, Subsaharan --- Africa, Tropical --- Africa South of the Sahara --- Black Africa --- Sub-Sahara Africa --- Subsahara Africa --- Subsaharan Africa --- Tropical Africa --- Statistical services. --- POLITICAL SCIENCE --- Political Economy --- Business & Economics --- Economic History --- Statistics --- E-books --- Economic development - Africa, Sub-Saharan - Statistics --- National income - Africa, Southern - Accounting --- Economic indicators - Africa, Sub-Saharan --- Africa, Sub-Saharan - Economic conditions - Statistics --- Africa, Sub-Saharan - Statistical services

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